Comments on: The Industrialization of IT http://www.privatecloud.com/2009/11/11/the-industrialization-of-it/ Mon, 08 Mar 2010 15:22:26 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Chuck Hollis http://www.privatecloud.com/2009/11/11/the-industrialization-of-it/comment-page-1/#comment-35 Chuck Hollis Thu, 12 Nov 2009 18:18:50 +0000 http://www.privatecloud.com/?p=928#comment-35 Mark I think that's a fair question. Some vendors -- like IBM -- manage to be relevant in multiple eras. Others like (insert favorite name here) are long forgotten. I think it all gets down to a vendor's cultural ability to adapt and thrive in new environments. Certainly, what worked well in one era won't work well in the next. I tend to be more extreme than you. I believe we'll see the transition in the next 3-5 years. All the enablers are there, and all the incentives are there. Thanks for the thoughtful comment -- Chuck Mark

I think that’s a fair question. Some vendors — like IBM — manage to be relevant in multiple eras. Others like (insert favorite name here) are long forgotten. I think it all gets down to a vendor’s cultural ability to adapt and thrive in new environments. Certainly, what worked well in one era won’t work well in the next.

I tend to be more extreme than you. I believe we’ll see the transition in the next 3-5 years. All the enablers are there, and all the incentives are there.

Thanks for the thoughtful comment

– Chuck

]]> By: Mark Bowker http://www.privatecloud.com/2009/11/11/the-industrialization-of-it/comment-page-1/#comment-34 Mark Bowker Thu, 12 Nov 2009 13:42:50 +0000 http://www.privatecloud.com/?p=928#comment-34 The only question remaining is: will the vendors who have ruled the first two eras be able to rule—or even participate—in the new one? If this era evolves as slowly as the Distributed Era did, then incumbent vendors have plenty of time to make their moves—but if it happens as suspected, seemingly overnight, then we could be looking at a massive inflection point not dissimilar to the disruption created when the automobile crossed the chasm, the industrial revolution itself, or the relatively short 50 years of commercial computing. With hundreds of billions of dollars in play annually (and trillions of market capitalization), the stakes are high. Regardless of who wins or loses, it is safe to say that the next 10-15 years will make the last 50 seem like any other ancient time our grandchildren may study in their history books. The only question remaining is: will the vendors who have ruled the first two eras be able to rule—or even participate—in the new one? If this era evolves as slowly as the Distributed Era did, then incumbent vendors have plenty of time to make their moves—but if it happens as suspected, seemingly overnight, then we could be looking at a massive inflection point not dissimilar to the disruption created when the automobile crossed the chasm, the industrial revolution itself, or the relatively short 50 years of commercial computing. With hundreds of billions of dollars in play annually (and trillions of market capitalization), the stakes are high. Regardless of who wins or loses, it is safe to say that the next 10-15 years will make the last 50 seem like any other ancient time our grandchildren may study in their history books.

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